Category: Market updates by Fabrizio
After the Barbie movie, it’s time for the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles to hit the big screen with their “Cowabunga” rallying cry, which by the way may also mean astonishment or stupor; has been adopted by surfers as a declaration of enthusiasm or exhilaration; or can be used for a battle cry. So, in the […]
On the eve of the Swiss national holiday, and after devoting my last week letter to the merits and, more importantly, the setbacks of the major economies and their currencies, it seemed obvious that we should take a closer look at Switzerland, its economy, its currency and its market. I received indeed many questions lately […]
DECALIA Market Updates by Fabrizio Quirighetti, CIO and Head of Multi-Asset Let’s start first by trying to explain the recent USD depreciation against most major currencies. It is basically due to the dollar smile phenomenon, observed about 20 years ago by Stephen Li Jen: the USD tends to outperform other currencies in two extremely different […]
For my last weekly editorial before I go on vacation, and for a change, you’ll find below the highlights of our latest strategy meeting, which took place last week, as well as a summary of our tactical allocation changes. Like a four-handed musical score, the credit also goes to my colleague Damien Weyermann, CFA, Lead […]
Last week I spoke about the overall resilience of US economy and the unexpectedly strong US equity performance, driven mainly by just a handful mega-tech stocks until recently, which has taken the vast majority of investors (including your humble servitor) by surprise. I tried to explain the reasons in retrospect (unfortunately): too light positioning & […]
Cagliari Calcio finally made it to qualify for Serie A next season by beating Bari yesterday evening with an incredibly miraculous goal at the 94’, which turned into a freezing kill-joy for the 60’000 attendees of the San Nicola stadium. As Yogi Berra would say: it ain’t over ‘till it’s over! For sure, it looks […]
Heading into the right direction, but there is still a long way to go. So, it’s too early to claim victory as “it ain’t over till it’s over”. These sentences may apply to inflationary pressures, as well as the US debt ceiling saga or… the Cagliari Calcio! Yes, my dear readers, after more than 200 […]
As focus on US debt ceiling is intensifying in a context of higher interest rates and growing concerns about economic growth slowdown, the debt sustainability debate is naturally resurfacing. People are thus talking about it (again), but very few have a clue or do something about it because it’s a vast and complex matter. So, […]
So far, so good! Both US companies’ earnings and economy continued to defy downbeat investors’ expectations (included mine) last week. However, as I mentioned one week ago, US equity remains at risk due to its historical and relative stretched valuation, especially in case of any disappointments down on the road (weaker growth, margin compression, regional […]
1st of May… should your humble servitor work and deliver its weekly letter? The Labor Day is an annual holiday in most countries with several markets being closed today, Switzerland included. But here in Geneva, we are working while the public sector enjoyed a day off despite the current left government has just lost its […]
Markets have gone nowhere over the last few days, with equity indices, long rates and major forex crosses experiencing contained daily variations and an overall sideways trading after a strong start of the year for both equity and bond investors. That’s certainly a symptom of a lack of conviction among them about what comes next […]
