Category: Market updates by Fabrizio
Last week, I asked somewhat ironically “what could go wrong?”, while being fully aware of the many risks and challenges ahead of us. As a result, Cagliari Calcio lost miserably on Friday against Udinese… In the same time, we are entering into November this week through the Halloween backdoor, while investors have already had many […]
In the run-up of the US presidential elections, which is now just two weeks away, the latest US economic data releases continue to please equity investors, while Cagliari Calcio maintains its positive momentum with its first home win of the season (3-2 vs. Torino). Like for the US elections, the race for staying in Serie […]
A lot happened over the last month. There was obviously some bad news (as usual) such as hurricanes, intensifying tensions in the Middle East, energy prices rebounding, growing uncertainties surrounding the US elections outcome, or winter coming… However, instead of playing Lou Reed “walk on the wild side”, I decided rather -like equity investors- to […]
Another week-end, another cold shower for the Cagliari Calcio at home! After sinking 0-4 against Napoli the prior Sunday, my favorite Italian soccer club ruined my week-end right from the start by losing 0-2 vs. Empoli last Friday. As a result, Cagliari stands now at the much-unenviable bottom of Serie A ranking. So, forget about […]
Here are our quick take-aways from yesterday’s Fed meeting: As we were guesstimating lately, the Fed delivered a hawkish 50bps cut. On the news of the dovish headline decision to ease somewhat more aggressively than anticipated (at 8pm CET time), markets reacted accordingly: equity up, bond’s yields down, USD down and gold up (see graph). […]
What a great weekend for Italian sport! Italy won 3-1 against France in Paris in the Nations League with an amazing comeback, while Jannik Sinner became the first Italian man to win the US tennis open title. Speaking about comeback and first time, bond investors may eventually consider Japan Government Bonds (JGBs) too… First of […]
Among the subjects that could make people angry, we can obviously mention politics when opinions become divisive, threatening friendships and even families; sport sometimes when one’s favorite club (in my case Cagliari Calcio) loses stupidly 1-0 to Lecce having played 11 against 10 for half-time and having had plenty of chances, or when the rivalry between […]
“The time has come for [monetary] policy to adjust” according to Jerome Powell during its speech at Jackson Hole last Friday, opening the door for a rate cut in September. The main uncertainty remains the path of these incoming cuts: gradually in case of a soft landing (and somewhat sticky services inflation) -our base case […]
Nine weeks later, summer is ending, kids headed back to school yesterday in Geneva and Italy Serie A 2024/25 season just kicked-off with a good draw of Cagliari Calcio vs. Roma… The last time I hit the send button for this letter on June 17th, S&P500 was at 5’473 (or circa -1% below last Friday […]
France is currently drawing a lot of worldwide attention from both sports commentators, with the entry of the “onze de France” into the Euro foot tonight and the incoming Olympic games in Paris, and investors with French political uncertainties weighing on sentiment after French President Macron called a snap election. As a result, European equity […]
Last week, my column was devoted to the virtue of patience and the many similarities between sport and the financial markets, including the importance of uncertainty and how to manage it in both with predictions and strategies. I concluded with a reminder of our scenario for inflation and rates leading to a cautious stance on […]
