Filters

Higher uncertainty? Favor flexibility and optionality, while remaining open-minded

The November US jobs report, released last Friday, was more reassuring than yesterday’s Cagliari Calcio game, where they lost 0-1 against Fiorentina. While the report points to a solid US labor market, Cagliari’s defeat means my favorite team remains dangerously close to the relegation zone. However, headlines can sometimes be misleading. For example, consider yesterday’s […]

Make it great again… again!

While US citizens have recently voted in favor of Trump and a united Republican government to make America great again, some Italian Serie A clubs are relying either on more respected football managers, such as Claudio Ranieri for Roma, or more unpredictable football players, such as Mario Balotelli for Genoa, in order to make their […]

Swinging from vine to vine

The vast majority (yours truly included) was expecting, or rather fearing, a close race. Trump won the White House hands down, with a larger majority than expected in the Senate and most likely the House too (i.e. a red sweep). I thought Cagliari Calcio would be swept aside by AC Milan this week-end. And they […]

Santa Claus is coming

Here we go… the much-awaited US presidential election will take place tonight. That’s certainly the world’s largest guessing game in terms of scenarios, but also the last big hurdle to clear for markets this year before investors could eventually enjoy a Santa Claus rally. Assuming obviously that (1) incoming economic data remain consistent with the […]

What could go wrong?

In the run-up of the US presidential elections, which is now just two weeks away, the latest US economic data releases continue to please equity investors, while Cagliari Calcio maintains its positive momentum with its first home win of the season (3-2 vs. Torino). Like for the US elections, the race for staying in Serie […]

Music to my ears…

A lot happened over the last month. There was obviously some bad news (as usual) such as hurricanes, intensifying tensions in the Middle East, energy prices rebounding, growing uncertainties surrounding the US elections outcome, or winter coming… However, instead of playing Lou Reed “walk on the wild side”, I decided rather -like equity investors- to […]

For bond investors, the sun rises (again) in the East

What a great weekend for Italian sport! Italy won 3-1 against France in Paris in the Nations League with an amazing comeback, while Jannik Sinner became the first Italian man to win the US tennis open title. Speaking about comeback and first time, bond investors may eventually consider Japan Government Bonds (JGBs) too… First of […]

Much Ado About Nothing

“The time has come for [monetary] policy to adjust” according to Jerome Powell during its speech at Jackson Hole last Friday, opening the door for a rate cut in September. The main uncertainty remains the path of these incoming cuts: gradually in case of a soft landing (and somewhat sticky services inflation) -our base case […]

Cocorico dependent

France is currently drawing a lot of worldwide attention from both sports commentators, with the entry of the “onze de France” into the Euro foot tonight and the incoming Olympic games in Paris, and investors with French political uncertainties weighing on sentiment after French President Macron called a snap election. As a result, European equity […]

Patience is definitively a virtue

For those of you who read me regularly, you all know my passion for sports and financial markets. For sure, I would have preferred to make a living from my first passion, but the bar is certainly less high in the second. Anyway, I can’t complain because there are many similarities between the two, which […]