Filtri

Cycles that don’t come home

Last week, in Sticky Rates Despite Slippery Growth, we flagged a puzzle: US data was turning noticeably gentler (weak July payrolls print, in-line and reassuring CPI, and a surprise drop in July retail sales), yet the 10y Treasury yield refused to budge from its highs. If anything, the picture has grown more stubborn since. The […]

Sticky rates despite slippery growth

Three weeks ago, in Beware of Certainties (27 July), we flagged how hard it had become to hold tactical convictions on rates, with investors pricing in two Fed hikes before year-end on the back of persistent inflation concerns with hardly anyone contemplating a hard landing. Since then, the data flow has told a more nuanced […]

L’AI potrebbe rivoluzionare lo sviluppo dei farmaci?

Nel caso dei mercati finanziari, come nella società in generale, l’IA è il tema di massima attualità. Le promesse di questa tecnologia sono certamente enormi e il suo impatto sui modelli di business aziendali sta già iniziando a concretizzarsi in diversi settori. E per quanto riguarda le bioscienze? L’IA può accelerare il processo di scoperta […]

Beware of certainties

It’s currently hard to hold tactical convictions on markets, given the many uncertainties related to (1) the gyrations of the US-Iran war, which influence the trajectory of energy prices and, by ripple effect, the stance of monetary policy, and (2) the AI theme dominating headlines, driving dispersion within the IT sector and concentrating risk. In […]

Inflation and growth in a time of innovation and geopolitical tensions

No flash of genius from the Messi(ah) or miracle for the wrestlers of the Albiceleste, who logically go down, but painfully, against La Roja. A deadly, dull match where the only real spectacle was the surreal, American-style halftime show… In the meantime, bombings, retaliation, offensive attacks and blockade have resumed in the Strait of Hormuz […]