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Sticky rates despite slippery growth

Three weeks ago, in Beware of Certainties (27 July), we flagged how hard it had become to hold tactical convictions on rates, with investors pricing in two Fed hikes before year-end on the back of persistent inflation concerns with hardly anyone contemplating a hard landing. Since then, the data flow has told a more nuanced […]

Could AI revolutionise drug discovery?

In financial markets, as in society at large, AI is the current buzzword. Its promises are certainly huge and its impacts on company business models already starting to materialise across a number of sectors. What of life sciences? Could AI accelerate the drug discovery process or are the days of real-world laboratory experimenting far from […]

Beware of certainties

It’s currently hard to hold tactical convictions on markets, given the many uncertainties related to (1) the gyrations of the US-Iran war, which influence the trajectory of energy prices and, by ripple effect, the stance of monetary policy, and (2) the AI theme dominating headlines, driving dispersion within the IT sector and concentrating risk. In […]

You token to me?

No miracle for the Nati (Swiss soccer team’s nickname). Once again, the football gods smiled on Lionel Messi and his teammates, while Switzerland left the World Cup with the familiar cocktail of pride, frustration and the nagging feeling that perhaps the better team hadn’t necessarily won. Investors know also this feeling. So far this year, […]

The Calm Before the Earnings Storm?

After a breathless first half, the teams finally head back to the dressing room. The opening six months of 2026 have delivered enough twists and turns to fill an entire season. It all started at breakneck pace with the spectacular arrest of Nicolás Maduro, before investors were thrown into months of geopolitical suspense as tensions […]