Kategorie: Market updates by Fabrizio
We aren’t yet out of the woods. That’s true both for the Cagliari Calcio, who lost logically against Inter on Friday evening, as well as for the energy shock resulting from the conflict in Iran. However, in both cases, the relief observed since the previous week-end thanks to the victory against Cremonese and the fragile […]
Apocalypse Not Now! We’ve avoided the worst in two ways—at least for now! First, because even though this weekend’s negotiations came to nothing, other than an even stricter U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz aimed at economically suffocating Iran, we’ve at least avoided the immediate destruction of a civilization… Second, because Cagliari won a […]
The energy crisis is deepening as fighting in the Middle East intensifies. Iran has proven more resilient than expected, effectively managing a difficult situation with a government that remains organized and cohesive. By refusing to pursue de-escalation, Tehran is increasing pressure on the United States. The well-known “TACO trade” (“Trump Always Chickens Out”) may not […]
Economic Calendar While developments surrounding the war in Iran and its collateral damage on the Strait of Hormuz’s blockade, the potential damages to Kharg Island energy infrastructure and, above all, the energy prices trajectory will likely continue to steal the show, there will still be a few interesting economic data releases this week. They will […]
Surprises, surprises seem the norm nowadays. After 10 days of vacation, I found once again everything turned upside down when I got back to the office last week as we now find ourselves in the middle of the Iranian conflict. For better or for worse, the surprises extend to sports with Italy’s victory over England […]
The US Supreme Court ruled last Friday that the President cannot use “emergency” authority to impose tariffs at will (i.e. the use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose broad based tariffs is unconstitutional). While that’s a great victory for the “rule of law” and thus somewhat reassuring politically speaking, it brings […]
Nowadays, economists and investors spend considerable time tracking inflation, debating purchasing power, and worrying about affordability. These three concepts are deeply connected, frequently confused, and, much like football tactics, widely discussed with varying levels of genuine understanding. In the US, where economic data releases can move markets more reliably than Cagliari Calcio games generate excitement, […]
For years, betting on Japanese assets felt a bit like supporting Cagliari Calcio: admirable loyalty, questionable timing, and a long history of heartbreak. Perennially overshadowed by bigger, flashier rivals, both Cagliari and the Japan financial markets became symbols of battles few expected to win. The so-called “widow maker” trade (i.e. shorting Japanese bonds in anticipation […]
While I have eventually proved wrong on prospects of gold in the short term (“gold’s rise could very well continue—albeit at a less frenetic pace—in the coming months”), I was right -but perhaps too conservative– concerning Cagliari Calcio as it thrashed Verona 4-0 on Saturday -with some spectacular and beautiful goals, and now sits 11 […]
Right now, there are two things that are shining brightly, continuing to climb to new heights, leaving us wondering how far they can go: gold, of course, which has just experienced its strongest weekly increase (+8.5%) since 2008, reaching a new record high of over $5,000 an ounce… and Cagliari Calcio, which has just secured […]
It is not only on the geopolitical front, with Iran, Venezuela or Greenland issues; or in the US domestic political arena with Trump’s incessant statements, threats and gyrations on Fed’s independence -among many others-; or on the US stock market, with the uninterrupted YTD outperformance of small caps and the underperformance of the Mag7, that […]
